Oscar nominations were announced this morning. Here’s how I did with my predictions and what I thought of the nominees.
BEST PICTURE:
My predictions:
The Artist
The Descendants
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
War Horse
Actual nominations:
The Artist
The Descendants
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
War Horse
My score: 8 for 9
My comments: The new voting system made predicting a real challenge this year, as there could have been 5 to 10 nominees. In order to make the cut, a film had to have passionate support (meaning enough Academy members put it at #1 on their ballot) to get the nomination. Because of this, I had a feeling the polarizing The Tree of Life would make it in, as those who love it (like me) REALLY love it. And conversely, a film like The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo is very respected but not loved, which explains it not making the final list. The shocker here is the inclusion of Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, which goes down in history as being the worst-reviewed Best Picture nominee ever. But it obviously had its fans, and it most likely owes its nomination to its late release date, as it was still fresh on voters’ minds. To see it nominated over Harry Potter is sad.
My early prediction: The Artist.
BEST DIRECTOR:
My predictions:
David Fincher – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist
Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne – The Descendants
Martin Scorsese – Hugo
Actual nominations:
Woody Allen – Midnight in Paris
Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist
Terrence Malick – The Tree of Life
Alexander Payne – The Descendants
Martin Scorsese – Hugo
My score: 4 for 5
My comments: I should have seen the Woody Allen love coming through here, but I thought Fincher to be equally respected. But, obviously, their respective films made the difference here, for all nominees come from Best Picture-nominated films, and Tatoo didn’t make the cut.
My early prediction: Martin Scorsese.
BEST ACTOR:
My predictions:
George Clooney – The Descendants
Leonardo DiCaprio – J. Edgar
Jean Dujardin – The Artist
Michael Fassbender – Shame
Brad Pitt – Moneyball
Actual nominations:
Damien Bechir – A Better Life
George Clooney – The Descendants
Jean Dujardin – The Artist
Gary Oldman – Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
Brad Pitt – Moneyball
My score: 3 for 5
My comments: This was the toughest category to call and ended up being the most surprising. While I am thrilled to see Gary Oldman recognized, I wasn’t a fan of his film (or his performance) and I truly believe Leo and Fassbender turned in far superior performances. I would have expected to see Michael Shannon here before Bechir, but Bechir’s SAG nomination should have been the red flag. The Academy loves uplifting movies and you can’t get more uplifting than A Better Life. And you can’t get more depressing than Shame. Don’t worry, Fassbender’s time will come. But his omission is a real blow to the Academy’s credibility, in my opinion.
My early prediction: George Clooney
BEST ACTRESS:
My predictions:
Glenn Close – Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis – The Help
Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady
Tilda Swinton – We Need to Talk About Kevin
Michelle Williams – My Week with Marilyn
Actual nominations:
Glenn Close – Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis – The Help
Rooney Mara – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady
Michelle Williams – My Week with Marilyn
My score: 4 for 5
My comments: The fifth spot was always the iffy one and I thought the Academy would go for Swinton, who they love. But Mara slipped in here, and I am happy to see her bold performance recognized.
My early prediction: Viola Davis
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
My predictions:
Kenneth Branagh – My Week with Marilyn
Albert Brooks - Drive
Nick Nolte – Warrior
Christopher Plummer – Beginners
Max von Sydow – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
Actual nominations:
Kenneth Branagh – My Week with Marilyn
Jonah Hill - Moneyball
Nick Nolte – Warrior
Christopher Plummer – Beginners
Max von Sydow – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
My score: 4 for 5
My comments: I knew Jonah Hill had a good chance, but I wouldn’t have thought he’d take Brooks’ place. But I just think Drive was too cool a movie for the Academy to recognize properly. I predicted von Sydow’s nomination because, well, it is the Academy. I really can’t believe the guy from Superbad is in instead of the guy from Broadcast News. Gotta love the Oscars.
My early prediction: Christopher Plummer
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
My predictions:
Bérénice Bejo – The Artist
Jessica Chastain – The Help
Melissa McCarthy – Bridesmaids
Janet McTeer – Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer – The Help
Actual nominations:
see above
My score: 5 for 5
My comments: No surprises here. I was hoping to see McCarthy included, as comic performances, especially raunchy ones, aren’t often recognized. Chastain really shone in a film that featured two other incredible performances, I’m glad to see she made it, although her body of work this year was probably what put her over the top.
My early prediction: Octavia Spencer
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
My predictions:
The Descendants – Nat Faxon, Alexander Payne, Jim Rash
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo- Steven Zaillian
The Help- Tate Taylor
Hugo- John Logan
Moneyball- Story by: Stan Chervin; Screenplay by: Aaron Sorkin, Steven Zaillian
Actual nominations:
The Descendants – Nat Faxon, Alexander Payne, Jim Rash
Hugo- John Logan
Ides of March- George Clooney, Grant Heslov, Beau Willimon
Moneyball- Story by: Stan Chervin; Screenplay by: Aaron Sorkin, Steven Zaillian
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy- Bridget O’Connor, Peter Straughan
My score: 3 for 5
My comments: It’s clear now that the Academy’s love for The Help revolves around the performances, and not much else. I should also have seen Ides and Tinker coming, one is George Clooney and the other is a complicated mess—that has Oscar written all over it. At least Steve Zaillian doesn’t have to compete against himself.
My early prediction: Moneyball
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
My predictions:
The Artist – Michel Hazanavicius
Beginners – Mike Mills
50/50 – Will Reiser
Midnight in Paris – Woody Allen
Win Win – Thomas McCarthy, Joe Tibani
Actual nominations:
The Artist – Michel Hazanavicius
Bridesmaids – Annie Mumolo, Kristen Wiig
Margin Call – J.C. Chandor
Midnight in Paris – Woody Allen
A Separation – Asghar Farhadi
My score: 2 for 5
My comments: Kristen Wiig is nominated for an Oscar. I’ll take it.
My early prediction: Midnight in Paris
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:
My predictions:
The Adventures of Tintin
Cars 2
Kung Fu Panda 2
Puss in Boots
Rango
Actual nominations:
A Cat in Paris
Chico and Rita
Kung Fu Panda 2
Puss in Boots
Rango
My score: 3 for 5
My comments: 1) Pixar isn’t perfect. 2) The animators hate performance-capture.
My early prediction: Rango
Overall, I’ve never been so underwhelmed by the nominations as I was this morning. Maybe they were too predictable. Or maybe it’s because I can’t remember a year when I’ve been so underwhelmed by the films in general. Even the ones I was passionate about, like The Tree of Life and Hugo, had serious flaws. It looks like this is The Artist’s year, which would make sense. A throwback movie about the wonderful early days of Hollywood. Maybe it’s just wishful thinking.
To see the entire list of nominations, visit www.oscar.com
Watch the Oscars live on ABC on Sunday, February 26, 7pm EST/ 4 PST.
I’m exhausted. I just spent the last 2 ½ hours getting raked over the emotional coals and I am officially wrecked. I surrendered to the master and now I am a pile of goo, desperately needing a dose of comic or cynical relief.
Tintin was a big deal for me growing up. I had every book and read each of them at least a hundred times. I assumed that every kid on the planet loved Tintin as much as I did. The series of comic stories, by Belgian author Herge, were the tales of Tintin, a young journalist whose constant search for a good story often led him to great adventures. There were always colorful (and usually complicated and intelligent) villains, and Tintin’s group of cohorts who would often accompany him on his travels were even more outlandish, including a bumbling pair of Clouseau-type detectives, Thompson and Thomson (the inspiration for the popular ‘80s new wave band Thompson Twins), a crusty, perpetually-drunk but ever-loyal sea captain, Captain Haddock, and, of course, Tintin’s constant companion, his trusty dog Snowy, who rescues our hero on more than one occasion. There was no Tintin without Snowy.
Ok, Robert Downey, Jr. I’m happy that you have resurrected your career, that you have come back from drugs and jail and overcome the “nobody will ever work with you again” label. I know you probably feel like you’ve got a lot to prove and want to take advantage of this second life, but, seriously—-stop. Stop with the schtick. You used to be a really good actor, Oscar-nominated and versatile. Now all you seem to know how to play is a snarky, over-the-top smartass. And, quite frankly, it’s getting old.
Watching David Fincher’s The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo was like visiting an old friend. A twisted, disturbed, abused, cynical and insane friend who calls you at 4am needing you to bail them out of jail…but a friend nonetheless.
Who knows if director Jason Reitman and/or screenwriter Diablo Cody fell into the category of high school outcasts, but their newest film, Young Adult, sure feels like revenge. It does dig a little deeper than that but, in the end, you just can’t help but find yourself secretly hoping all the pretty bullies you hated in high school ended up this way.
What am I missing? Apparently, a lot. Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy is supposedly, according to nearly all critics, a brilliant, exciting, suspenseful and well-made film adaptation of the John LeCarre classic spy novel. I just didn’t see it.
Most of us will never know what it’s like to crawl into another skin. It’s hard enough being in our own. Movies, however, are designed to illuminate the human condition—all conditions—and beg us to open our minds to the experience of another person, in order to, hopefully, gain a better knowledge of those around us. It’s a temporary putting on of another life, one we can watch/live through for two hours and then leave behind, along with our empty popcorn bucket and candy wrappers.